3 papers
physics.data-an2019
Shadowing the rotating annulus. Part II: Gradient descent in the perfect model scenario
Roland M. B. Young, Roman Binter, Falk Niehörster +2
Shadowing trajectories are model trajectories consistent with a sequence of observations of a system, given a distribution of observational noise. The existence of such trajectorie…
stat.ME2016
On the Design and use of Ensembles of Multi-model Simulations for Forecasting
Sarah Higgins, Hailiang Du, Leonard A. Smith
Probability forecasting is common in the geosciences, the finance sector, and elsewhere. It is sometimes the case that one has multiple probability-forecasts for the same target. H…
nlin.CD2004
Consistent nonlinear dynamics: identifying model inadequacy
Patrick E. McSharry, Leonard A. Smith
Empirical modelling often aims for the simplest model consistent with the data. A new technique is presented which quantifies the consistency of the model dynamics as a function of…