2 papers
stat.ME2026
Impossibility of Distribution-Free Predictive Inference for Individual Treatment Effects
Chongguang Tao, Zheng Zhou, Yuhong Yang
Uncertainty quantification for individual treatment effects (ITEs) is a daunting challenge in causal inference. Motivated by recent advances in conformal prediction, several works…
stat.ME2026
Conformal Prediction Assessment: A Framework for Conditional Coverage Evaluation and Selection
Zheng Zhou, Xiangfei Zhang, Chongguang Tao +1
Conformal prediction provides rigorous distribution-free finite-sample guarantees for marginal coverage under the assumption of exchangeability, but may exhibit systematic undercov…