most citedCompartmental Disease Models with Time-Varying Transmission Rates: A Bayesian Generalized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo framework with Applications to COVID-19

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stat.ME2026★ 5 cited

Compartmental Disease Models with Time-Varying Transmission Rates: A Bayesian Generalized Hamiltonian Monte Carlo framework with Applications to COVID-19

Hristo Inouzhe, María Xosé Rodríguez-Álvarez, Lorenzo Nagar +1

Epidemic transmission is shaped by changing behaviour, interventions, and unobserved factors, while incidence data are noisy and incomplete. We develop a Bayesian statistical-mecha…