activity
20242026
collaborators

5 papers

stat.AP2026

Bayesian spatio-temporal exposure modelling of air pollution in Rome, Italy, and short-term effects on cause-specific mortality

Edoardo Rosci, Giovanna Jona Lasinio, Paola Michelozzi +1

Assessing fine-scale spatio-temporal air pollution contrasts in urban contexts is a major challenge for environmental epidemiology. We propose a Bayesian spatio-temporal model to p…

stat.AP2026

Scalable model selection for count time series with structural breaks: application to solid-organ transplantation during and after COVID-19 in the USA and Italy

Tobia Filosi, Emiliano Ceccarelli, Emilio Porcu +7

Weekly healthcare activity data are typically non-negative counts with temporal dependence and occasional system-wide disruptions, settings in which Gaussian time-series models may…

stat.AP2025

A two-stage approach to heat-mortality risk assessment comparing multiple exposure-to-temperature models: the case study in Lazio, Italy

Emiliano Ceccarelli, Jorge Castillo-Mateo, Sandra Gudžiūnaitė +3

This study investigates how different spatiotemporal temperature models affect the estimation of heat-related mortality in Lazio, Italy (2008--2022). First, we compare three method…

stat.AP2025

Modelling benthic animals in space and time using Bayesian Point Process with cross validation: the case of Holoturians

Daniele Poggio, Gian Mario Sangiovanni, Gianluca Mastrantonio +4

Understanding the spatial distribution of Holothurians is an essential task for ecosystem monitoring and sustainable management, particularly in the Mediterranean habitats. However…

stat.ME2024

Bayesian size-and-shape regression modelling

Antonio Di Noia, Gianluca Mastrantonio, Giovanna Jona Lasinio

Building on Dryden et al. (2021), this note presents the Bayesian estimation of a regression model for size-and-shape response variables with Gaussian landmarks. Our proposal fits…