3 papers
cs.LG2026
Bayesian Conformal Prediction as a Decision Risk Problem
Fanyi Wu, Veronika Lohmanova, Samuel Kaski +1
We propose Bayesian Conformal Prediction (BCP), a framework that combines Bayesian posterior predictive distributions with PAC-style conformal risk control to produce prediction se…
stat.ML2026
CREDO: Epistemic-Aware Conformalized Credal Envelopes for Regression
Luben M. C. Cabezas, Sabina J. Sloman, Bruno M. Resende +3
Conformal prediction delivers prediction intervals with distribution-free coverage, but its intervals can look overconfident in regions where the model is extrapolating, because st…
cs.CL2025
THCM-CAL: Temporal-Hierarchical Causal Modelling with Conformal Calibration for Clinical Risk Prediction
Xin Zhang, Qiyu Wei, Yingjie Zhu +2
Automated clinical risk prediction from electronic health records (EHRs) demands modeling both structured diagnostic codes and unstructured narrative notes. However, most prior app…