466 citations · 654 across the 8 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers · 1 filter
Power-law size distributions in geoscience revisited
Álvaro Corral, Álvaro González
The size or energy of diverse structures or phenomena in geoscience appears to follow power-law distributions. A rigorous statistical analysis of such observations is tricky, thoug…
A way to synchronize models with seismic faults for earthquake forecasting: Insights from a simple stochastic model
Alvaro Gonzalez, Miguel Vazquez-Prada, Javier B. Gomez +1
Numerical models are starting to be used for determining the future behaviour of seismic faults and fault networks. Their final goal would be to forecast future large earthquakes.…
The occupation of a box as a toy model for the seismic cycle of a fault
Alvaro Gonzalez, Javier B. Gomez, Amalio F. Pacheco
We illustrate how a simple statistical model can describe the quasiperiodic occurrence of large earthquakes. The model idealizes the loading of elastic energy in a seismic fault by…
Updating seismic hazard at Parkfield
Alvaro Gonzalez, Javier B. Gomez, Amalio F. Pacheco
The occurrence of the September 28, 2004 Mw=6.0 mainshock at Parkfield, California, has significantly increased the mean and aperiodicity of the series of time intervals between ma…
Forecasting characteristic earthquakes in a minimalist model
Miguel Vazquez-Prada, Alvaro Gonzalez, Javier B. Gomez +1
Using error diagrams, we quantify the forecasting of characteristic-earthquake occurrence in a recently introduced minimalist model. Initially we connect the earthquake alarm at a…