1 citations · 2 across the 2 of their papers we have counts for
2 papers
stat.ME2024★ 1 cited
Exploring the Difficulty of Estimating Win Probability: A Simulation Study
Ryan S. Brill, Ronald Yurko, Abraham J. Wyner
Estimating win probability is one of the classic modeling tasks of sports analytics. Many widely used win probability estimators use machine learning to fit the relationship betwee…
stat.AP2023★ 1 cited
Analytics, have some humility: a statistical view of fourth-down decision making
Ryan S. Brill, Ronald Yurko, Abraham J. Wyner
The standard mathematical approach to fourth-down decision making in American football is to make the decision that maximizes estimated win probability. Win probability estimates a…