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stat.ME2024
Compositional dynamic modelling for causal prediction in multivariate time series
Kevin Li, Graham Tierney, Christoph Hellmayr +1
Theoretical developments in sequential Bayesian analysis of multivariate dynamic models underlie new methodology for causal prediction. This extends the utility of existing models…
stat.ME2023
Reply to Discussions of "Multivariate Dynamic Modeling for Bayesian Forecasting of Business Revenue"
Anna K. Yanchenko, Graham Tierney, Joseph Lawson +3
We are most grateful to all discussants for their positive comments and many thought-provoking questions. In addition, the discussants provide a number of useful leads into various…
stat.ME2023
Multivariate Bayesian dynamic modeling for causal prediction
Graham Tierney, Christoph Hellmayr, Greg Barkimer +2
Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated un…