most citedDirect Interval Propagation Methods using Neural-Network Surrogates for Uncertainty Quantification in Physical Systems Surrogate Model

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cs.LG2026

Learning Credal Ensembles via Distributionally Robust Optimization

Kaizheng Wang, Ghifari Adam Faza, Fabio Cuzzolin +3

Credal predictors are models that are aware of epistemic uncertainty and produce a convex set of probabilistic predictions. They offer a principled way to quantify predictive epist…

cs.LG20261 cited

Direct Interval Propagation Methods using Neural-Network Surrogates for Uncertainty Quantification in Physical Systems Surrogate Model

Ghifari Adam Faza, Jolan Wauters, Fabio Cuzzolin +2

In engineering, uncertainty propagation aims to characterise system outputs under uncertain inputs. For interval uncertainty, the goal is to determine output bounds given interval-…

cs.LG2025

Credal Ensemble Distillation for Uncertainty Quantification

Kaizheng Wang, Fabio Cuzzolin, David Moens +1

Deep ensembles (DE) have emerged as a powerful approach for quantifying predictive uncertainty and distinguishing its aleatoric and epistemic components, thereby enhancing model ro…

cs.LG2025

Credal Wrapper of Model Averaging for Uncertainty Estimation in Classification

Kaizheng Wang, Fabio Cuzzolin, Keivan Shariatmadar +2

This paper presents an innovative approach, called credal wrapper, to formulating a credal set representation of model averaging for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) and deep ensemb…

cs.LG2025

Generalized Decision Focused Learning under Imprecise Uncertainty--Theoretical Study

Keivan Shariatmadar, Neil Yorke-Smith, Ahmad Osman +3

Decision Focused Learning has emerged as a critical paradigm for integrating machine learning with downstream optimisation. Despite its promise, existing methodologies predominantl…

cs.LG2025

CreINNs: Credal-Set Interval Neural Networks for Uncertainty Estimation in Classification Tasks

Kaizheng Wang, Keivan Shariatmadar, Shireen Kudukkil Manchingal +3

Effective uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly attractive for enhancing the reliability of neural networks. This work presents a novel approach, termed Credal-Set Interv…