activity
20202024
most citedContinuous-time state-space modelling of the hot hand in basketball

16 citations · 18 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

5 papers

stat.AP2024

PEP: a tackle value measuring the prevention of expected points

Robert Bajons, Jan-Ole Koslik, Rouven Michels +1

Traditional assessments of tackling in American Football often only consider the number of tackles made, without adequately accounting for their context and importance for the game…

stat.ME2024

Modelling handball outcomes using univariate and bivariate approaches

Dimitris Karlis, Rouven Michels, Marius Otting

Handball has received growing interest during the last years, including academic research for many different aspects of the sport. On the other hand modelling the outcome of the ga…

stat.ME2023★ 1 cited

Extending the Dixon and Coles model: an application to women's football data

Rouven Michels, Marius Ötting, Dimitris Karlis

The prevalent model by Dixon and Coles (1997) extends the double Poisson model where two independent Poisson distributions model the number of goals scored by each team by moving p…

stat.AP2022★ 1 cited

Bettors' reaction to match dynamics -- Evidence from in-game betting

Rouven Michels, Marius Ötting, Roland Langrock

It is still largely unclear to what extent bettors update their prior assumptions about the strength and form of competing teams considering the dynamics during the match. This is…

stat.AP2020★ 16 cited

Continuous-time state-space modelling of the hot hand in basketball

Sina Mews, Marius Ötting

We investigate the hot hand phenomenon using data on 110,513 free throws taken in the National Basketball Association (NBA). As free throws occur at unevenly spaced time points wit…