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physics.ao-ph2026
Butterfly Effect Confirmed in Global AI Weather Models: Evidence from Tropical Cyclone Forecasting
Jeremy Cheuk-Hin Leung, Daosheng Xu, Weiye Yu +9
A paradox recently emerged in artificial intelligence (AI) weather prediction research. While some claim AI weather models cannot simulate atmospheric butterfly effect, this confli…
physics.ao-ph2026
Error Growth Dynamic and Predictability of Tropical Cyclone in Machine Learning Weather Prediction Model
Jingchen Pu, Mu Mu, Jie Feng +1
Predictability analysis, which focuses on perturbation growth dynamic, is a key problem in both weather and climate prediction. Among all perturbations, the conditional nonlinear o…