1.1k citations · 1.6k across the 20 of their papers we have counts for
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Resolving the measurement uncertainty paradox in ecological management
Milad Memarzadeh, Carl Boettiger
Ecological management and decision-making typically focus on uncertainty about the future, but surprisingly little is known about how to account for uncertainty of the present: tha…
Revealing biases in the sampling of ecological interaction networks
Marcus A. M. de Aguiar, Erica A. Newman, Mathias M. Pires +8
The structure of ecological interactions is commonly understood through analyses of interaction networks. However, these analyses may be sensitive to sampling biases in both the in…
Optimal management of a stochastically varying population when policy adjustment is costly
Carl Boettiger, Michael Bode, James N. Sanchirico +3
Ecological systems are dynamic and policies to manage them need to respond to that variation. However, policy adjustments will sometimes be costly, which means that fine-tuning a p…
No early warning signals for stochastic transitions: insights from large deviation theory
Carl Boettiger, Alan Hastings
A reply to Drake (2013) "Early warning signals of stochastic switching" http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2013.0686
Early warning signals: The charted and uncharted territories
Carl Boettiger, Noam Ross, Alan Hastings
The realization that complex systems such as ecological communities can collapse or shift regimes suddenly and without rapid external forcing poses a serious challenge to our under…
Early Warning Signals and the Prosecutor's Fallacy
Carl Boettiger, Alan Hastings
Early warning signals have been proposed to forecast the possibility of a critical transition, such as the eutrophication of a lake, the collapse of a coral reef, or the end of a g…