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From the 1 of 117 linked papers with an AI index.

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20242026
most citedTime-uniform Chernoff bounds via nonnegative supermartingales

7 citations · 8 across the 61 of their papers we have counts for

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21 papers · 1 filter

stat.ME2024

Sequential Monte-Carlo testing by betting

Lasse Fischer, Aaditya Ramdas

In a Monte-Carlo test, the observed dataset is fixed, and several resampled or permuted versions of the dataset are generated in order to test a null hypothesis that the original d…

math.ST2024

On the existence of powerful p-values and e-values for composite hypotheses

Zhenyuan Zhang, Aaditya Ramdas, Ruodu Wang

Given a composite null and composite alternative , when and how can we construct a p-value whose distribution is exactly uniform under the null, and stoc…

stat.ML2024

Logarithmic Neyman Regret for Adaptive Estimation of the Average Treatment Effect

Ojash Neopane, Aaditya Ramdas, Aarti Singh

Estimation of the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) is a core problem in causal inference with strong connections to Off-Policy Evaluation in Reinforcement Learning. This paper consid…

stat.ME2024

Merging uncertainty sets via majority vote

Matteo Gasparin, Aaditya Ramdas

Given uncertainty sets that are arbitrarily dependent -- for example, confidence intervals for an unknown parameter obtained with different estimators, or prediction sets o…

math.ST2024

Anytime-valid t-tests and confidence sequences for Gaussian means with unknown variance

Hongjian Wang, Aaditya Ramdas

In 1976, Lai constructed a nontrivial confidence sequence for the mean of a Gaussian distribution with unknown variance . Curiously, he employed both an improper (right…

cs.GT2024

Bias Detection Via Signaling

Yiling Chen, Tao Lin, Ariel D. Procaccia +2

We introduce and study the problem of detecting whether an agent is updating their prior beliefs given new evidence in an optimal way that is Bayesian, or whether they are biased t…