2 papers
cs.HC2026
Does Algorithmic Uncertainty Sway Human Experts? Evidence from a Field Experiment in Selective College Admissions
Hansol Lee, AJ Alvero, René F. Kizilcec +1
Algorithmic predictions are inherently uncertain: even models with similar aggregate accuracy can produce different predictions for the same individual, raising concerns that high-…
stat.AP2025
Dynamic Bayesian Item Response Model with Decomposition (D-BIRD): Modeling Cohort and Individual Learning Over Time
Hansol Lee, Jason B. Cho, David S. Matteson +1
We present D-BIRD, a Bayesian dynamic item response model for estimating student ability from sparse, longitudinal assessments. By decomposing ability into a cohort trend and indiv…