2 papers
stat.AP2026
Comparison of probabilistic nowcasts and forecasts of SARS-CoV-2 variant proportions made by hierarchical multinomial linear regression models
Isaac MacArthur, Thomas Robacker, Evan L. Ray +3
Nowcasting and forecasting of infectious diseases have become increasingly important since the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. In particular, methods for modeling the composition of circulati…
stat.AP2023
Evaluating infectious disease forecasts with allocation scoring rules
Aaron Gerding, Nicholas G. Reich, Benjamin Rogers +1
Recent years have seen increasing efforts to forecast infectious disease burdens, with a primary goal being to help public health workers make informed policy decisions. However, t…