2 papers
q-bio.PE2026
Jointly estimating transmissibility and prior immunity from epidemic time series
David J. D. Earn, Todd L. Parsons
Infectious disease time series are often used to estimate a pathogen's basic reproduction number, . However, fits of epidemic models to time series conflate pathogen transmiss…
q-bio.PE2025
Epidemic "momentum" and a conservation law for infectious disease dynamics
David J. D. Earn, Todd L. Parsons
Infectious disease outbreaks have precipitated a profusion of mathematical models. Epidemic curves predicted by these models are typically qualitatively similar, despite distinct m…