5 papers
State-resolved multimodal contributions to stratospheric polar vortex predictability
Shuo Yang, Dan Zhao, Tingting Xue +3
The dynamical basis of stratospheric polar vortex predictability remains unclear, particularly the relative roles of persistence, structural variability, and cross-level coupling.…
A Regime Shift in Atlantic Surface Currents Reveals a Step-like Decline of the Meridional Overturning Circulation
Han Huang, Ningning Tao, Hongyu Wang +8
The Atlantic surface currents associated with the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) play a central role in regulating Earth's climate, yet their large scale dynami…
Efficient Generative AI Boosts Probabilistic Forecasting of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings
Ningning Tao, Fei Xie, Baoxiang Pan +6
Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSWs) are key sources of subseasonal predictability and major drivers of extreme weather in winter. Accurate and efficient probabilistic forecasting…
Warming-driven rise in soil moisture entropy signals destabilization of the Asian Water Tower
Yiran Xie, Teng Liu, Xuan Ma +6
The Tibetan Plateau (TP), known as the "Asian Water Tower," is currently undergoing a rapid wetting trend. While this moisture increase is often viewed as beneficial for water avai…
A Revisit of Large-Scale Patterns in Middle Stratospheric Circulation Variations
Ningning Tao, Xiaosong Chen, Fei Xie +5
Variations in stratospheric atmospheric circulation significantly influence tropospheric weather and climate, and understanding these variations can guide stratospheric aircraft de…