3 papers
stat.AP2026
Policy Robustness & Uncertainty in Model-based Decision Support for the Energy Transition
Ian J. Burton, Femke J. M. M. Nijsse, James M. Salter
Climate policy modelling is a key tool for assessing mitigation strategies in complex systems, where uncertainty is inherent and unavoidable. We present a general methodology for e…
stat.ME2025
Bayesian Hierarchical Emulators for Multi-Level Models: BayHEm
Louise Kimpton, James Salter, Xiaoyu Xiong +1
Decision making often uses complex computer codes run at the exa-scale (10e18 flops). Such computer codes or models are often run in a hierarchy of different levels of fidelity ran…
stat.OT2024
Uncertainty Quantification for Agent Based Models: A Tutorial
Louise Kimpton, Peter Challenor, James Salter
We explore the application of uncertainty quantification methods to agent-based models (ABMs) using a simple sheep and wolf predator-prey model. This work serves as a tutorial on h…