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physics.hist-ph2026
Polydoxon Transformations and Scientific Reward in Physics
James D. Wells
We develop a descriptive account of scientific reward in physics based on the concept of the time-dependent Polydoxon, defined as the structured set of empirically viable theories…
physics.hist-ph2024
A Bayesian Model of Credence in Low Energy Supersymmetry
Richard Dawid, James D. Wells
We carry out a quantitative Bayesian analysis of the evolution of credences in low energy supersymmetry (SUSY) in light of the most relevant empirical data. The analysis is based o…