3 papers
cs.AI2026
FutureWorld: A Live Reinforcement Learning Environment for Predictive Agents with Real-World Outcome Rewards
Zhixin Han, Yanzhi Zhang, Chuyang Wei +11
Live future prediction refers to the task of making predictions about real-world events before they unfold. This task is increasingly studied using large language model-based agent…
cs.AI2026
Harnessing Pre-Resolution Signals for Future Prediction Agents
Chuyang Wei, Maohang Gao, Zhixin Han +12
Many high-stakes decisions depend on forecasts made before outcomes are known. In this future prediction setting, the central challenge is that public evidence evolves over time, w…
cs.CL2025
UBench: Benchmarking Uncertainty in Large Language Models with Multiple Choice Questions
Xunzhi Wang, Zhuowei Zhang, Gaonan Chen +7
Despite recent progress in systematic evaluation frameworks, benchmarking the uncertainty of large language models (LLMs) remains a highly challenging task. Existing methods for be…