activity
20072026
most citedMarkov Chain Monte Carlo: Can We Trust the Third Significant Figure?

275 citations · 619 across the 18 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators
Showing math.STShow all

10 papers · 1 filter

math.ST2026

Inference Optimal Long Run Variance Estimation with Lugsail Kernels

Rebecca P. Kurtz-Garcia, James M. Flegal

For datasets with unknown but stationary serial dependence, a robust long run variance estimator is essential to handle diverse scenarios. Spectral variance estimators are commonly…

math.ST2018★ 2 cited

Weighted batch means estimators in Markov chain Monte Carlo

Ying Liu, James M. Flegal

This paper proposes a family of weighted batch means variance estimators, which are computationally efficient and can be conveniently applied in practice. The focus is on Markov ch…

math.ST2018★ 3 cited

Batch size selection for variance estimators in MCMC

Ying Liu, Dootika Vats, James M. Flegal

We consider batch size selection for a general class of multivariate batch means variance estimators, which are computationally viable for high-dimensional Markov chain Monte Carlo…

math.ST2015

Multivariate Output Analysis for Markov chain Monte Carlo

Dootika Vats, James M. Flegal, Galin L. Jones

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) produces a correlated sample for estimating expectations with respect to a target distribution. A fundamental question is when should sampling stop…

math.ST2015★ 5 cited

Estimating standard errors for importance sampling estimators with multiple Markov chains

Vivekananda Roy, Aixin Tan, James M. Flegal

The naive importance sampling estimator, based on samples from a single importance density, can be numerically unstable. Instead, we consider generalized importance sampling estima…

math.ST2015★ 6 cited

Strong Consistency of Multivariate Spectral Variance Estimators

Dootika Vats, James M. Flegal, Galin L. Jones

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are used to estimate features of interest of a distribution. The Monte Carlo error in estimation has an asymptotic normal distribution wh…

math.ST2013★ 12 cited

Relative fixed-width stopping rules for Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations

James M. Flegal, Lei Gong

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations are commonly employed for estimating features of a target distribution, particularly for Bayesian inference. A fundamental challenge is…

math.ST2012★ 41 cited

Markov Chain Monte Carlo Estimation of Quantiles

Charles Doss, James M. Flegal, Galin L. Jones +1

We consider quantile estimation using Markov chain Monte Carlo and establish conditions under which the sampling distribution of the Monte Carlo error is approximately Normal. Furt…

math.ST2008★ 239 cited

Batch means and spectral variance estimators in Markov chain Monte Carlo

James M. Flegal, Galin L. Jones

Calculating a Monte Carlo standard error (MCSE) is an important step in the statistical analysis of the simulation output obtained from a Markov chain Monte Carlo experiment. An MC…

math.ST2007★ 275 cited

Markov Chain Monte Carlo: Can We Trust the Third Significant Figure?

James M. Flegal, Murali Haran, Galin L. Jones

Current reporting of results based on Markov chain Monte Carlo computations could be improved. In particular, a measure of the accuracy of the resulting estimates is rarely reporte…