2 papers
q-fin.MF2019
Election predictions are arbitrage-free: response to Taleb
Aubrey Clayton
Taleb (2018) claimed a novel approach to evaluating the quality of probabilistic election forecasts via no-arbitrage pricing techniques and argued that popular forecasts of the 201…
q-bio.PE2007
Mutation-selection balance with recombination: convergence to equilibrium for polynomial selection costs
Aubrey Clayton, Steven N. Evans
We study a continuous-time dynamical system that models the evolving distribution of genotypes in an infinite population where genomes may have infinitely many or even a continuum…