3 papers
stat.ME2026
RobustiPy: An efficient next generation multiversal library with model selection, averaging, resampling, and explainable artificial intelligence
Daniel Valdenegro, Jiani Yan, Duiyi Dai +1
Scientific inference is often undermined by the vast but rarely explored "multiverse" of defensible modelling choices, which can generate results as variable as the phenomena under…
cs.LG2025
On the Unknowable Limits to Prediction
Jiani Yan, Charles Rahal
We propose a rigorous decomposition of predictive error, highlighting that not all 'irreducible' error is genuinely immutable. Many domains stand to benefit from iterative enhancem…
econ.GN2024
Estimating the Cost of Informal Care with a Novel Two-Stage Approach to Individual Synthetic Control
Maria Petrillo, Daniel Valdenegro, Charles Rahal +3
Informal carers provide the majority of care for people living with challenges related to older age, long-term illness, or disability. However, the care they provide often results…