117 citations · 522 across the 22 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers · 2 filters
Probabilistic forecasting of heterogeneous consumer transaction-sales time series
Lindsay R. Berry, Paul Helman, Mike West
We present new Bayesian methodology for consumer sales forecasting. With a focus on multi-step ahead forecasting of daily sales of many supermarket items, we adapt dynamic count mi…
Bayesian forecasting of many count-valued time series
Lindsay Berry, Mike West
This paper develops forecasting methodology and application of new classes of dynamic models for time series of non-negative counts. Novel univariate models synthesise dynamic gene…
Bayesian Dynamic Modeling and Monitoring of Network Flows
Xi Chen, David Banks, Mike West
In the context of a motivating study of dynamic network flow data on a large-scale e-commerce web site, we develop Bayesian models for on-line/sequential analysis for monitoring an…
Bayesian Predictive Synthesis with Outcome-Dependent Pools
Matthew C. Johnson, Mike West
This paper reviews background and examples of Bayesian predictive synthesis (BPS), and develops details in a subset of BPS mixture models. BPS expands on standard Bayesian model un…
Variable Prioritization in Nonlinear Black Box Methods: A Genetic Association Case Study
Lorin Crawford, Seth R. Flaxman, Daniel E. Runcie +1
The central aim in this paper is to address variable selection questions in nonlinear and nonparametric regression. Motivated by statistical genetics, where nonlinear interactions…