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cs.LG2026
Amortized Interventional Forecasting for Multivariate CIR Processes
Andreas Sauter, Sumit Sourabh, Drona Kandhai +1
Mean-reverting dynamics are pervasive in finance, and the Cox--Ingersoll--Ross (CIR) process is a standard model for the time series they produce, from short rates to credit defaul…
cs.LG2025
ACTIVA: Amortized Causal Effect Estimation via Transformer-based Variational Autoencoder
Andreas Sauter, Saber Salehkaleybar, Frank van Harmelen +2
Predicting post-intervention distributions from observational data is central to many scientific and decision-making problems, but remains challenging due to causal ambiguity, rest…