2 papers
econ.EM2026
Drivers of Success: A Bayesian State-Space Model to Disentangling Latent Driver and Constructor Abilities in Formula One
Tim Lindner, Rui Jorge Almeida, Nalan Baştürk +1
Formula One outcomes reflect the joint contributions of drivers and constructors, but these contributions are unobserved and vary over time. We propose a Bayesian state-space model…
econ.EM2021
Min(d)ing the President: A text analytic approach to measuring tax news
Lenard Lieb, Adam Jassem, Rui Jorge Almeida +2
Economic agents react to signals about future tax policy changes. Consequently, estimating their macroeconomic effects requires identification of such signals. We propose a novel t…