2 papers
physics.ao-ph2026
Toward Actionable Predictability of Tropical Mesoscale Convective Systems through Large-scale Recurrent Environments in Northern South America
Vanessa Robledo, John F. Mejía, Jhayron S. Pérez-Carrasquilla +2
Mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) produce much of the extreme precipitation, floods, and landslides that affect northern South America (NOSA), yet remain difficult to anticipate…
physics.ao-ph2026
Tracing the space-time causal origins of Earth system extremes
Jhayron S. Pérez-Carrasquilla, J. Jake Nichol, Vanessa Robledo +4
Identifying the causes of Earth's extremes is challenging because counterfactual experiments are not possible in the observed world. Data-driven causal discovery complements comput…