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stat.ML2026
TEMPER: Temporal Encoder-Masked Probabilistic Ensemble Regressor for Time-Series Forecasting
Giancarlo Vercellino
Probabilistic forecasting requires accurate central predictions and calibrated uncertainty estimates. This paper presents TEMPER, the Temporal Encoder-Masked Probabilistic Ensemble…
stat.ML2026
Rollcast: Proper-Score Gated Rolling Anchors for Adaptive Probabilistic Time-Series Forecasting
Giancarlo Vercellino
Rollcast is a probabilistic forecasting method for univariate time series that combines a compact set of rolling statistical anchors rather than relying on a single global model. R…