2 papers
stat.ME2026
A Strictly Proper Scoring-Rule Theory for Calibrating Stochastic Car-Following Models
Shirui Zhou, Shiteng Zheng, Junzhe Ding +2
Problem definition: Fixed parameters and inputs in a stochastic simulator induce a distribution over complete trajectories, not one trajectory. Calibration must assess this distrib…
physics.soc-ph2026
A Structured Framework for Calibrating Stochastic Car-Following Models: Data Adequacy, Parameter Sensitivity, and Objective Selection
Shirui Zhou, Junzhe Ding, Junfang Tian +3
Calibrating a stochastic car-following model is harder than its deterministic counterpart: the loss itself becomes a random variable, so a favorable random realization can be mista…