activity
20232026
most citedOrthogonal prediction of counterfactual outcomes

1 citations · 1 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

6 papers

stat.ME2026

Partial Identification Learning with Categorical Treatments for Individualized Treatment Rules

Johannes Hruza, Paweł Morzywołek, Jakob Zeitler +2

We develop a partial identification learning framework for individualized treatment rules (ITRs) with categorical treatments, outcomes, and instrumental variables. Rather than rely…

stat.ME2026

Modified treatment policies that depend on the natural history of treatment

Iván Díaz, Nicholas T. Williams, Paweł Morzywołek +1

Longitudinal modified treatment policies (LMTP) are a class of interventions that allow the definition, identification, and estimation of causal effects in general settings, such a…

stat.ME2025

Inference on Variable Importance for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity: Shapley Values and Beyond

Pawel Morzywolek, Peter B. Gilbert, Alex Luedtke

We provide an inferential framework to assess variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects. This assessment is especially useful in high-risk domains such as medicine, w…

stat.ME2024

The risks of risk assessment: causal blind spots when using prediction models for treatment decisions

Nan van Geloven, Ruth H Keogh, Wouter van Amsterdam +12

Clinicians increasingly rely on prediction models to guide treatment choices. Most prediction models, however, are developed using observational data that include some patients who…

stat.ME2023

Risk-based decision making: estimands for sequential prediction under interventions

Kim Luijken, Paweł Morzywołek, Wouter van Amsterdam +14

Prediction models are used amongst others to inform medical decisions on interventions. Typically, individuals with high risks of adverse outcomes are advised to undergo an interve…

stat.ME20231 cited

Orthogonal prediction of counterfactual outcomes

Stijn Vansteelandt, Paweł Morzywołek

Orthogonal meta-learners, such as DR-learner, R-learner and IF-learner, are increasingly used to estimate conditional average treatment effects. They improve convergence rates rela…