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math.PR2026

Scaling limit and density conjecture for activated random walk on the complete graph

Matthew Junge, Harley Kaufman, Josh Meisel

We study driven-dissipative activated random walk with sleep probability on an -vertex complete graph with a sink that traps jumping particles with probability . We sho…

math.PR2026

The hockey-stick conjecture for activated random walk

Christopher Hoffman, Tobias Johnson, Matthew Junge

We prove a conjecture of Levine and Silvestri that the driven-dissipative activated random walk model on an interval drives itself directly to and then sustains a critical density.…

math.PR2025

The frog model with death revisited

Samyah Ahmed, Matthew Junge

We prove that the probability the frog model with death and drift on the -ary tree is recurrent can be made positive and thus is not monotone in the drift parameter.

math.PR2025

Chase-escape with conversion on the complete graph

Matthew Junge, Sergio Rodríguez

We prove that chase-escape with conversion on the complete graph undergoes a phase transition at equal fitness and derive simple asymptotic formulas for the extinction probability,…

math.PR2025

Activated random walk on the comb

Matthew Junge, Josh Meisel, Aldo Morelli

The density conjecture for activated random walk on the interval was recently resolved using a new tool called layer percolation. As a step towards understanding how layer percolat…

math.PR2025

Mean-field limit for activated random walk on the integer lattice

Matthew Junge, Harley Kaufman, Josh Meisel

We show that the critical density for activated random walk on approaches the sleep probability as and provide the first-order correction.