5 papers
Mechanisms and Pathways of Extreme Events in Partially-Observed Stochastic Dynamical Systems
Charlotte Moser, Nan Chen, Marios Andreou
Extreme events occur across the natural, engineering, and socioeconomic sciences, where rare but high-impact episodes can lead to disproportionate consequences that pose major chal…
Bridging Idealized and Operational Models: An Explainable AI Framework for Earth System Emulators
Pouria Behnoudfar, Charlotte Moser, Marc Bocquet +2
Computer models are indispensable tools for understanding the Earth system. While high-resolution operational models have achieved many successes, they exhibit persistent biases, p…
A Mathematical Framework for Quantifying Nonlinear Uncertainty Propagation in Eddy Identification Criteria
Charlotte Moser, Nan Chen, Stephen Wiggins
Ocean eddies are swirling mesoscale features that play a fundamental role in oceanic transport and mixing. Eddy identification relies on diagnostic criteria that are inherently non…
A Simple Intermediate Coupled MJO-ENSO Model: Multiscale Interactions and ENSO Complexity
Yinling Zhang, Nan Chen, Charlotte Moser
The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are two dominant modes of tropical climate variability, each with profound global weather impacts.…
A Stochastic Conceptual Model for the Coupled ENSO and MJO
Charlotte Moser, Nan Chen, Yinling Zhang
Understanding the interactions between the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) is essential to studying climate variabilities and predicting…