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physics.ao-ph2026

Weak 21st-century AMOC response to Greenland meltwater in a strongly eddying ocean model

Oliver Mehling, Henk A. Dijkstra

Climate models project that the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) will weaken in the 21st century, but the magnitude is highly uncertain. Some of this uncertainty…

physics.ao-ph2026

Failure to track a stable AMOC state under rapid climate change

René M. van Westen, René M. van Westen, Reyk Börner +2

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a tipping element of the climate system. The current estimate of the global warming threshold for the onset of an AMOC col…

physics.ao-ph2026

The Effects of a Constructed Closure of the Bering Strait on AMOC Tipping Behavior

Jelle Soons, Henk A. Dijkstra

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a major tipping element in the present-day climate, and could potentially collapse under sufficient freshwater or CO2-forc…

physics.ao-ph2025

Physics of an AMOC Overshoot in a Box Model

Jelle Soons, Tobias Grafke, René M. van Westen +1

Recently the global average temperature has temporarily exceeded the 1.5°C goal of the Paris Agreement, and so an overshoot of various climate tipping elements becomes increasingl…

physics.ao-ph2025

West Antarctic Meltwater can Prevent an AMOC Collapse

Sacha Sinet, Anna S. von der Heydt, Henk A. Dijkstra

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and polar ice sheets are coupled tipping elements, allowing for potential cascading tipping events in which tipping is facili…

physics.ao-ph2024

Feedback Processes causing an AMOC Collapse in the Community Earth System Model

Elian Vanderborght, René M. van Westen, Henk A. Dijkstra

The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is recognized as a tipping element within the global climate system. Central to its tipping behavior is the salt-advection fe…