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astro-ph.CO2026
From Evidence to Evident: Decisive Cosmological Evidence for the Normal Neutrino Mass Hierarchy
Raul Jimenez, Carlos Peña Garay, Fergus Simpson +1
Cosmological data have reached the precision needed to turn the neutrino mass ordering from a weak Bayesian preference into a decisive model-selection test. We compute the evidence…
astro-ph.CO2026
The Coherence Principle: A Falsifiable Prior for Model Selection from the Grammar of Theories
Raul Jimenez, Carlos Peña Garay, Fergus Simpson +1
Bayesian model selection in cosmology and particle physics is often performed where posterior odds inherit a strong, often unacknowledged dependence on the prior assigned to compet…