21 papers
FuXi-Nowcast: Environment-conditioned deep learning for severe convection nowcasting
Lei Chen, Zijian Zhu, Xiaoran Zhuang +4
Severe convection produces localized hazards that often require warnings before radar echoes fully reveal storm development. Convective initiation and the maintenance of intense co…
MambaRain: Multi-Scale Mamba-Attention Framework for 0-3 Hour Precipitation Nowcasting
Chunlei Shi, Cui Wu, Xiang Xu +10
Accurate precipitation nowcasting over extended horizons (0-3 hours) is essential for disaster mitigation and operational decision-making, yet remains a critical challenge in the f…
VMU-Diff: A Coarse-to-fine Multi-source Data Fusion Framework for Precipitation Nowcasting
Chunlei Shi, Hao Li, Yufeng Zhu +6
Precipitation nowcasting is a vital spatio-temporal prediction task for meteorological applications but faces challenges due to the chaotic property of precipitation systems. Exist…
SeesawNet: Towards Non-stationary Time Series Forecasting with Balanced Modeling of Common and Specific Dependencies
Hao Li, Lu Zhang, Liu Chong +3
Instance normalization (IN) is widely used in non-stationary multivariate time series forecasting to reduce distribution shifts and highlight common patterns across samples. Howeve…
A plug-and-play generative framework for multi-satellite precipitation estimation
Yunfan Yang, Haofei Sun, Xiuyu Sun +7
Reliable precipitation monitoring is essential for disaster risk reduction, water resources management, and agricultural decision-making. Multi-source satellite observations, parti…
QuantWeather: Quantile-Aware Probabilistic Forecasting for Subseasonal Precipitation
Lei Chen, Xinyu Su, Xiaohui Zhong +1
Subseasonal precipitation forecasting is inherently uncertain due to chaotic atmospheric dynamics, making reliable uncertainty estimation essential for real-world applications. Exi…