activity
20212026
most citedLimits of epidemic prediction using SIR models

37 citations · 48 across the 9 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

10 papers

stat.ML2026

Just add noise: Debiasing tree-based variable importance in mixed data

Jiahe Li, Omar Melikechi

Variable importance scores from tree-based methods such as random forests favor continuous predictors over categorical ones. We present a theoretical analysis of this bias and prop…

stat.ME2026

Causal Stability Selection

Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi, Omar Melikechi

Identifying covariates that modify treatment effects is a central problem in causal inference. Yet existing data-adaptive procedures do not provide finite-sample control over the e…

stat.ME2025

Local graph estimation with pathwise false discovery control

Omar Melikechi, David B. Dunson, Noureddine Melikechi +1

Many datasets include a small set of variables, such as biomarkers or clinical outcomes, whose relationships to the broader system are of primary scientific interest. Estimating th…

stat.ML2024

Nonparametric IPSS: Fast, flexible feature selection with false discovery control

Omar Melikechi, David B. Dunson, Jeffrey W. Miller

Feature selection is a critical task in machine learning and statistics. However, existing feature selection methods either (i) rely on parametric methods such as linear or general…

stat.ME2024★ 1 cited

Integrated path stability selection

Omar Melikechi, Jeffrey W. Miller

Stability selection is a popular method for improving feature selection algorithms. One of its key attributes is that it provides theoretical upper bounds on the expected number of…

stat.ME2023

Sequential Gibbs Posteriors with Applications to Principal Component Analysis

Steven Winter, Omar Melikechi, David B. Dunson

Gibbs posteriors are proportional to a prior distribution multiplied by an exponentiated loss function, with a key tuning parameter weighting information in the loss relative to th…

stat.ML2023★ 5 cited

Ellipsoid fitting with the Cayley transform

Omar Melikechi, David B. Dunson

We introduce Cayley transform ellipsoid fitting (CTEF), an algorithm that uses the Cayley transform to fit ellipsoids to noisy data in any dimension. Unlike many ellipsoid fitting…

math.DS2022★ 1 cited

Random Splitting of Fluid Models: Positive Lyapunov Exponents

Andrea Agazzi, Jonathan C. Mattingly, Omar Melikechi

In this paper we give sufficient conditions for random splitting systems to have a positive top Lyapunov exponent. We verify these conditions for random splittings of two fluid mod…

math.PR2022★ 4 cited

Random Splitting of Fluid Models: Ergodicity and Convergence

Andrea Agazzi, Jonathan C. Mattingly, Omar Melikechi

We introduce a family of stochastic models motivated by the study of nonequilibrium steady states of fluid equations. These models decompose the deterministic dynamics of interest…

stat.AP2021★ 37 cited

Limits of epidemic prediction using SIR models

Omar Melikechi, Alexander L. Young, Tao Tang +3

The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) equations and their extensions comprise a commonly utilized set of models for understanding and predicting the course of an epidemic. In…