most citedA Practical Probabilistic Benchmark for AI Weather Models

24 citations · 74 across the 11 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

11 papers

physics.ao-ph2024★ 1 cited

Modulated Adaptive Fourier Neural Operators for Temporal Interpolation of Weather Forecasts

Jussi Leinonen, Boris Bonev, Thorsten Kurth +1

Weather and climate data are often available at limited temporal resolution, either due to storage limitations, or in the case of weather forecast models based on deep learning, th…

cs.CV2024

Stochastic Flow Matching for Resolving Small-Scale Physics

Stathi Fotiadis, Noah Brenowitz, Tomas Geffner +4

Conditioning diffusion and flow models have proven effective for super-resolving small-scale details in natural images.However, in physical sciences such as weather, super-resolvin…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 7 cited

Kilometer-Scale Convection Allowing Model Emulation using Generative Diffusion Modeling

Jaideep Pathak, Yair Cohen, Piyush Garg +8

Storm-scale convection-allowing models (CAMs) are an important tool for predicting the evolution of thunderstorms and mesoscale convective systems that result in damaging extreme w…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 4 cited

Huge Ensembles Part I: Design of Ensemble Weather Forecasts using Spherical Fourier Neural Operators

Ankur Mahesh, William Collins, Boris Bonev +13

Studying low-likelihood high-impact extreme weather events in a warming world is a significant and challenging task for current ensemble forecasting systems. While these systems pr…

cs.LG2024★ 3 cited

Huge Ensembles Part II: Properties of a Huge Ensemble of Hindcasts Generated with Spherical Fourier Neural Operators

Ankur Mahesh, William Collins, Boris Bonev +12

In Part I, we created an ensemble based on Spherical Fourier Neural Operators. As initial condition perturbations, we used bred vectors, and as model perturbations, we used multipl…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 11 cited

Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Dynamics in a Machine Learning Earth System Model

Chenggong Wang, Michael S. Pritchard, Noah Brenowitz +5

Seasonal climate forecasts are socioeconomically important for managing the impacts of extreme weather events and for planning in sectors like agriculture and energy. Climate predi…

cs.LG2024★ 4 cited

Generative Data Assimilation of Sparse Weather Station Observations at Kilometer Scales

Peter Manshausen, Yair Cohen, Peter Harrington +7

Data assimilation of observational data into full atmospheric states is essential for weather forecast model initialization. Recently, methods for deep generative data assimilation…

astro-ph.SR2024★ 3 cited

White dwarf eccentricity fluctuation and dissipation by AGB convection

Yair Cohen, Sivan Ginzburg, Maya Levy +2

Millisecond pulsars with white dwarf companions have typical eccentricities . The eccentricities of helium white dwarfs are explained well by applying the fl…

physics.comp-ph2024★ 1 cited

DiffObs: Generative Diffusion for Global Forecasting of Satellite Observations

Jason Stock, Jaideep Pathak, Yair Cohen +5

This work presents an autoregressive generative diffusion model (DiffObs) to predict the global evolution of daily precipitation, trained on a satellite observational product, and…

physics.ao-ph2024★ 24 cited

A Practical Probabilistic Benchmark for AI Weather Models

Noah D. Brenowitz, Yair Cohen, Jaideep Pathak +6

Since the weather is chaotic, forecasts aim to predict the distribution of future states rather than make a single prediction. Recently, multiple data driven weather models have em…

cs.LG2023★ 16 cited

Residual Corrective Diffusion Modeling for Km-scale Atmospheric Downscaling

Morteza Mardani, Noah Brenowitz, Yair Cohen +10

The state of the art for physical hazard prediction from weather and climate requires expensive km-scale numerical simulations driven by coarser resolution global inputs. Here, a g…