26 citations · 36 across the 5 of their papers we have counts for
5 papers
The Empirical Content of Bayesian Updating under Misspecification
Pooya Molavi
An agent is a misspecified Bayesian if she updates her belief using Bayes' rule given a subjective, possibly misspecified model of her signals. This paper shows that a belief seque…
Informational Autocrats, Diverse Societies
A. Arda Gitmez, Pooya Molavi
This paper presents a theoretical model of an autocrat who controls the media in an attempt to persuade society of his competence. We base our analysis on a Bayesian persuasion fra…
Simple Models and Biased Forecasts
Pooya Molavi
This paper proposes a framework in which agents are constrained to use simple models to forecast economic variables and characterizes the resulting biases. It considers agents who…
The Empirical Content of Bayesianism
Pooya Molavi
This paper characterizes the conditions under which the observed beliefs of a group of agents are consistent with Bayesian updating. Beliefs are consistent with Bayesianism if they…
Bayesian Quadratic Network Game Filters
Ceyhun Eksin, Pooya Molavi, Alejandro Ribeiro +1
A repeated network game where agents have quadratic utilities that depend on information externalities -- an unknown underlying state -- as well as payoff externalities -- the acti…