145 citations · 359 across the 24 of their papers we have counts for
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stat.AP2014
Power Weighted Densities for Time Series Data
Daniel M. McCarthy, Shane T. Jensen
While time series prediction is an important, actively studied problem, the predictive accuracy of time series models is complicated by non-stationarity. We develop a fast and effe…
stat.AP2014★ 33 cited
Probability aggregation in time-series: Dynamic hierarchical modeling of sparse expert beliefs
Ville A. Satopää, Shane T. Jensen, Barbara A. Mellers +2
Most subjective probability aggregation procedures use a single probability judgment from each expert, even though it is common for experts studying real problems to update their p…