3 papers
econ.GN2025
Forecasting House Prices
Emanuel Kohlscheen
This article identifies the factors that drove house prices in 13 advanced countries over the past 35 years. It does so based on Breiman s (2001) random forest model. Shapley value…
econ.GN2024
Effects of carbon pricing and other climate policies on CO2 emissions
Emanuel Kohlscheen, Richhild Moessner, Elod Takats
We provide ex-post empirical analysis of the effects of climate policies on carbon dioxide emissions at the aggregate national level. Our results are based on a comprehensive datab…
econ.GN2023
The shape of business cycles: a cross-country analysis of Friedman s plucking theory
Emanuel Kohlscheen, Richhild Moessner, Daniel Rees
We test the international applicability of Friedman s famous plucking theory of the business cycle in 12 advanced economies between 1970 and 2021. We find that in countries where l…