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cs.LG2026
Does Aurora Encode Atmospheric Structure? Latent Regime Analysis and Attribution
Emma Kasteleyn, Ana Lucic
ML foundation models are able to emulate atmospheric dynamics accurately and efficiently but operate as opaque ``black boxes''. We investigate the internal representations of the A…
cs.LG2026
PhysMetrics.Weather: An Evaluation Framework for Physical Consistency in ML Weather Models
Emma Kasteleyn, Timo Maier, Axel Lauer +3
Machine learning weather prediction (MLWP) models have achieved impressive forecasting performance at a small fraction of the computational costs required for traditional physics-b…
cs.LG2026
(Sparse) Attention to the Details: Preserving Spectral Fidelity in ML-based Weather Forecasting Models
Maksim Zhdanov, Ana Lucic, Max Welling +1
We introduce Mosaic, a probabilistic weather forecasting model that addresses three failure modes of spectral degradation in ML-based weather prediction: spectral damping (statisti…