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stat.ME2024
A New Method for Multinomial Inference using Dempster-Shafer Theory
Earl C. Lawrence, Alexander C. Murph, Scott A. Vander Wiel +1
A new method for multinomial inference is proposed by representing the cell probabilities as unordered segments on the unit interval and following Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory. The…
stat.ME2024
Mapping Incidence and Prevalence Peak Data for SIR Forecasting Applications
Alexander C. Murph, G. Casey Gibson, Lauren J. Beesley +4
Infectious disease modeling and forecasting have played a key role in helping assess and respond to epidemics and pandemics. Recent work has leveraged data on disease peak infectio…