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cs.AI2026
Crashing Waves vs. Rising Tides: Findings on AI Automation from Thousands of Worker Evaluations of Labor Market Tasks
Matthias Mertens, Adam Kuzee, Brittany S. Harris +6
We characterize AI automation as a continuum between crashing waves, in which capabilities jump abruptly across narrow task sets, and rising tides, in which capabilities improve co…
cs.AI2026★ 1 cited
Is there "Secret Sauce'' in Large Language Model Development?
Matthias Mertens, Natalia Fischl-Lanzoni, Neil Thompson
Do leading LLM developers possess a proprietary ``secret sauce'', or is LLM performance driven by scaling up compute? Using training and benchmark data for 809 models released betw…