7 papers
Adaptive Experimentation for Censored Survival Outcomes
Yuxin Wang, Dennis Frauen, Jonas Schweisthal +3
Adaptive experimentation enables efficient estimation of causal effects, but existing methods are not designed for survival data with censoring, where event times are only partiall…
Amortizing Causal Sensitivity Analysis via Prior Data-Fitted Networks
Emil Javurek, Dennis Frauen, Marie Brockschmidt +2
Causal sensitivity analysis aims to provide bounds for causal effect estimates in the presence of unobserved confounding. However, existing methods for causal sensitivity analysis…
Generalized Bayes for Causal Inference
Emil Javurek, Dennis Frauen, Yuxin Wang +1
Uncertainty quantification is central to many applications of causal machine learning, yet principled Bayesian inference for causal effects remains challenging. Standard Bayesian a…
Targeted Synthetic Control Method
Yuxin Wang, Dennis Frauen, Emil Javurek +3
The synthetic control method (SCM) estimates causal effects in panel data with a single-treated unit by constructing a counterfactual outcome as a weighted combination of untreated…
Rank-Learner: Orthogonal Ranking of Treatment Effects
Henri Arno, Dennis Frauen, Emil Javurek +2
Many decision-making problems require ranking individuals by their treatment effects rather than estimating the exact effect magnitudes. Examples include prioritizing patients for…
An Orthogonal Learner for Individualized Outcomes in Markov Decision Processes
Emil Javurek, Valentyn Melnychuk, Jonas Schweisthal +3
Predicting individualized potential outcomes in sequential decision-making is central for optimizing therapeutic decisions in personalized medicine (e.g., which dosing sequence to…
Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networks
Yuchen Ma, Dennis Frauen, Emil Javurek +1
Prior-data fitted networks (PFNs) have recently been proposed as a promising way to train tabular foundation models. PFNs are transformers that are pre-trained on synthetic data ge…