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researcher

Marius Puke

3 papers hereh-index 229 citations4 works total

Matching runs newest-first, so older work may not be attached to this profile yet.

author position
  • middle author2
  • last author1

Across the 3 of 3 papers where every author was matched, so the position is known.

fields
  • econ.EM1
  • math.ST1
  • stat.ME1

identity via Semantic Scholar / OpenAlex

most citedHonest calibration assessment for binary outcome predictions

17 citations · 17 across the 3 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

3 papers

econ.EM2026

Statistical Inference for Score Decompositions

Timo Dimitriadis, Marius Puke

We introduce inference methods for score decompositions, which partition scoring functions for predictive assessment into three interpretable components: miscalibration, discrimina…

math.ST2022★ 17 cited

Honest calibration assessment for binary outcome predictions

Timo Dimitriadis, Lutz Duembgen, Alexander Henzi +2

Probability predictions from binary regressions or machine learning methods ought to be calibrated: If an event is predicted to occur with probability x, it should materialize wi…

stat.ME2022

A safe Hosmer-Lemeshow test

Alexander Henzi, Marius Puke, Timo Dimitriadis +1

This article proposes an alternative to the Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) test for evaluating the calibration of probability forecasts for binary events. The approach is based on e-values,…

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Not affiliated with arXiv. Researcher data from Semantic Scholar (ODC-BY) and OpenAlex.