2 papers
q-bio.PE2026
Bounds on and final epidemic size when the next-generation matrix is only partially known
Andrea Bizzotto, Frank Ball, Tom Britton
We study a multitype SIR epidemic model where individuals are categorized into different types, and where infection spread is characterized by a next-generation matrix $M=\{m_{ij}\…
q-bio.PE2023
Increasing situational awareness through nowcasting of the reproduction number
Andrea Bizzotto, Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano +15
The time varying reproduction number R is a critical variable for situational awareness during infectious disease outbreaks, but delays between infection and reporting hinder its a…