4 papers · 1 filter
Stabilizing distribution-free probabilistic forecasts
Jente Van Belle, Honglin Wen, Wouter Verbeke +1
Multi-step-ahead forecasts are often updated as new observations become available, since shorter forecast horizons typically improve forecast quality. However, such improvements co…
Estimating Treatment Effects in Networks under Unknown Exposure Mappings
Daan Caljon, Jente Van Belle, Wouter Verbeke
Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects in network settings is complicated by interference, meaning that the outcome of an instance can be influenced by the treatment status of…
Decision-centric fairness: Evaluation and optimization for resource allocation problems
Simon De Vos, Jente Van Belle, Andres Algaba +2
Data-driven decision support tools play an increasingly central role in decision-making across various domains. In this work, we focus on binary classification models for predictin…
Using dynamic loss weighting to boost improvements in forecast stability
Daan Caljon, Jeff Vercauteren, Simon De Vos +2
Rolling origin forecast instability refers to variability in forecasts for a specific period induced by updating the forecast when new data points become available. Recently, an ex…