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cs.LG2026
Noise Titration: Exact Distributional Benchmarking for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting
Qilin Wang
Modern time series forecasting is evaluated almost entirely through passive observation of single historical trajectories, rendering claims about a model's robustness to non-statio…
cs.LG2025
Ellipsoidal Time Series Forecasting
Qilin Wang
We argue that long-term forecasting requires learning local Jacobians with explicit spectral structure, going beyond simple conditional mean matching. Our method, Fern, invokes Bre…