3 papers
stat.AP2026
Tree statistics improve neural simulation-based inference of epidemiological parameters over case counts alone
Zena Lapp, Emma E. Goldberg, John R. Tipton +3
During an infectious disease outbreak, accurate estimates of epidemiological parameters such as the reproduction number and infection duration can inform the public health response…
stat.AP2026
Collaborative estimation and evaluation of SARS-CoV-2 variant nowcasting in the United States
Isaac MacArthur, Thomas Robacker, Bren Case +27
The ability to estimate and predict pathogen variant dynamics can inform public health responses, including planning for increased transmission or severity, shifts in population im…
stat.AP2026
Leveraging Synthetic and Genetic Data to Improve Epidemic Forecasting
Dave Osthus, Alexander C. Murph, Emma E. Goldberg +4
Forecasting infectious disease outbreaks is hard. Forecasting emerging infectious diseases with limited historical data is even harder. In this paper, we investigate ways to improv…