activity
20202026
most citedExtreme event probability estimation using PDE-constrained optimization and large deviation theory, with application to tsunamis

33 citations · 47 across the 7 of their papers we have counts for

collaborators

7 papers

math.OC2026

Risk Control of Traffic Flow Through Chance Constraints and Large Deviation Approximation

Rui Xu, Shanyin Tong, Xuan Di

We develop a rare chance-constrained optimal control framework for autonomous traffic management, with traffic dynamics governed by stochastic partial differential equations. To ef…

math.NA2023★ 4 cited

Sensitivity Analysis of the Information Gain in Infinite-Dimensional Bayesian Linear Inverse Problems

Abhijit Chowdhary, Shanyin Tong, Georg Stadler +1

We study the sensitivity of infinite-dimensional Bayesian linear inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) with respect to modeling uncertainties. In parti…

stat.CO2023★ 8 cited

Scalable Methods for Computing Sharp Extreme Event Probabilities in Infinite-Dimensional Stochastic Systems

Timo Schorlepp, Shanyin Tong, Tobias Grafke +1

We introduce and compare computational techniques for sharp extreme event probability estimates in stochastic differential equations with small additive Gaussian noise. In particul…

stat.CO2022

Large deviation theory-based adaptive importance sampling for rare events in high dimensions

Shanyin Tong, Georg Stadler

We propose a method for the accurate estimation of rare event or failure probabilities for expensive-to-evaluate numerical models in high dimensions. The proposed approach combines…

physics.geo-ph2021★ 2 cited

Estimating earthquake-induced tsunami height probabilities without sampling

Shanyin Tong, Eric Vanden-Eijnden, Georg Stadler

Given a distribution of earthquake-induced seafloor elevations, we present a method to compute the probability of the resulting tsunamis reaching a certain size on shore. Instead o…

math.OC2020

Optimization under rare chance constraints

Shanyin Tong, Anirudh Subramanyam, Vishwas Rao

Chance constraints provide a principled framework to mitigate the risk of high-impact extreme events by modifying the controllable properties of a system. The low probability and r…

math.OC2020★ 33 cited

Extreme event probability estimation using PDE-constrained optimization and large deviation theory, with application to tsunamis

Shanyin Tong, Eric Vanden-Eijnden, Georg Stadler

We propose and compare methods for the analysis of extreme events in complex systems governed by PDEs that involve random parameters, in situations where we are interested in quant…